The Bitcoin network is set to undergo its highly anticipated “halving” event around April 20th, which will slash the rewards miners receive for validating transactions on the blockchain in half. This programmed reduction, a feature built into Bitcoin’s core code by its anonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto, is designed to maintain the cryptocurrency’s fixed supply of 21 million tokens.
However, the looming halving is poised to trigger significant revenue declines for the companies that power the Bitcoin network. The reduction in mining rewards could translate to around $10 billion in annual revenue losses for the industry as a whole.
Fortune notes that the impact will be felt acutely by major public mining firms like Marathon Digital Holdings and CleanSpark, which have invested heavily in expanding their operations in recent years. These companies have been acquiring smaller rivals and upgrading their equipment in an attempt to maintain their slice of the shrinking reward pie.
The Bitcoin mining sector’s challenges extend beyond the halving event itself. Miners are facing rising energy costs as they compete for limited power supply with the burgeoning artificial intelligence industry, which is rapidly expanding its energy-intensive data center footprint. This power crunch is driving up electricity prices that miners must pay, further squeezing their profit margins.
“Power in the US is extraordinarily constrained,” Adam Sullivan, CEO of major miner Core Scientific, told Fortune. “Right now, miners are competing against some of the largest tech companies in the world, who are trying to find space for data centers, which are high energy consumers too.”
The shifting dynamics have made it increasingly difficult for miners, especially smaller private firms that rely on debt and venture capital, to secure favorable long-term power contracts. This threatens to compound the revenue declines they will face after the halving.
Some investors are already betting on the mining sector’s struggles, with short interest in publicly traded miners reaching levels three times the US average. The halving event and broader industry challenges could prove to be a make-or-break moment for many bitcoin mining operations, separating the resilient survivors from those that may be forced to exit the market.
#Bitcoin ‘halving’ will deal a $10bn blow to crypto miners. Cryptocurrency’s update will slash new supply in late April. Competition for favorable electric rates growing from AI firms. Some traders are betting that mining stocks will fall. Total short interest, dollar value of… pic.twitter.com/VLzXFzDeT6
— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) April 14, 2024
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